| |
Exception and Distractions
"Most Portfolios Are A Collection
of Exceptions and Distractions"
In the early 80’s I was a pension
fund manager for a large multinational oil company. I did not manage
stocks or bonds, but rather I managed the managers who bought and
sold the stocks and bonds.
I designed our asset allocation strategy, measured and monitored our
stable of investment managers, researched new investment managers
and investment strategies, and managed our funding and payments. I
met with our 20 investment managers regularly to review our account
status and understand their outlooks and its impact on our account.
One of my favorite managers was Dr. Harold Ehrlich, Chairman and
Chief Investment Officer of Bernstein McCauley, a well known
institutional manager of bonds. He is fabulously successful and
fabulously wealthy, and now advises wealthy American families and
foundations.
He is a precise, dapper, and exquisite man, full of delightful
energy and bon homme. It always took my full attention and
concentration to be in the company of this giant of capital market
understanding and wisdom. He was extraordinarily generous with his
knowledge and patient with my pestering.
I remember one of our meetings like it was yesterday. We were having
lunch at the Plaza in NYC. I don’t remember the context, although
undoubtedly it was about the markets, but he told me, “Most
portfolios are a collection of exceptions and distractions”. For
some reason this phrase stuck with me and I returned to it often
over the following months and years.
Have you ever wondered how professional money managers consistently
beat the market? It’s simple. They have a clearly stated investment
strategy with specific investment objectives, and they faithfully
execute their strategy no matter what the circumstances or
environment. There are hundreds of examples to illustrate this
point. These characteristics are common to every successful
professional manager I know, and I know hundreds.
What Dr. Erhlich was really describing was the consequences of
failing to properly and professionally manage an investment
portfolio. You see, almost any investment strategy, clearly outlined
with specific and precise objectives and faithfully executed, will
outperform any index or benchmark.
As I would come across a disorganized
portfolio of one of our managers, which I found especially common in
London, I would think of Dr. Ehrlich’s description. Often, during my
conversation with the portfolio manager about individual holdings in
our portfolio, I would say to myself that investment adds nothing to
the portfolio, and is just another distraction. They need to sell
it.
I began to look for a unifying investment theme in every portfolio.
I asked myself if there was a logical structure and cohesive thread
running through all of the holdings of our portfolio. And were our
holdings consistent with the manager’s outlook and objective?
Many times, in our portfolios managed by firms such as Jennison
Associates, MacKay Shields, Bernstein McCauley, or R.C Brown the
investment theme was clear and the portfolios were brilliantly
constructed.
Many others were not. I had to conclude we owned another portfolio
of “exceptions and distractions”. It did not matter what their
performance was. It could have been terrific.
These types of managers allowed themselves to be tossed about by
all the currents in the capital markets. The result was it
impossible to manage this manager. It was also impossible to know if
our investment purpose would be achieved. They were terminated.
Panhandle Portfolios Model Portfolio a simple, income oriented
investment strategy. Our bedrock principals are clear; we buy
sustainable high income investments. When an investment violates one
or more of our rules, it is sold.
Will all of our investments be
successful? No of course not. I have made mistakes and I will make
more, but I have not and will not violate or abandon our investment
strategy. We have a specific range of expected performance so we can
measure ourselves, which we do at the end of every month.
What Dr. Erhlich was describing was
the result of management failures. A collection of exceptions and
distractions can never outperform the markets over time. It may be
“hot” today, but it will not last.
I have seen the consequences of these
management failures. I assure you the Model Portfolio is not one of
them. Panhandle Portfolio has a clearly articulated investment
strategy faithfully executed by a trained and very experienced
professional money manager. The result is a high income portfolio
that will achieve superior performance over time.
Ask yourself these questions about
your own portfolio. You may find, like I did many years ago, your
portfolio needs a clearer investment objective or theme. Make sure
your portfolio is not full of “exceptions and distractions”.
May you live long and prosper,
Mike Williams, CFA
(back to commentary) |
|
|